{"id":9263,"date":"2025-06-19T21:17:16","date_gmt":"2025-06-19T21:17:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sdgtalking.com\/?p=9263"},"modified":"2025-07-02T02:22:44","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T02:22:44","slug":"advertencia-de-los-cientificos-solo-quedan-tres-anos-para-mantener-el-calentamiento-global-en-15-c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sdgtalking.com\/es\/advertencia-de-los-cientificos-solo-quedan-tres-anos-para-mantener-el-calentamiento-global-en-15-c\/","title":{"rendered":"Advertencia de los cient\u00edficos: solo quedan tres a\u00f1os para mantener el calentamiento global en 1,5 \u00b0C"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

(SDGTALKING) \u2013 By Bunyamin Surmeli – <\/strong>Seg\u00fan el \u00faltimo informe elaborado por m\u00e1s de 60 cient\u00edficos clim\u00e1ticos de todo el mundo, con los niveles actuales de emisiones de di\u00f3xido de carbono, la posibilidad de limitar el aumento de la temperatura global del planeta a 1,5 \u00b0C podr\u00eda desaparecer en solo tres a\u00f1os. Los investigadores advirtieron que \u00absi no se toman medidas r\u00e1pidas y estrictas, se superar\u00e1 el umbral cr\u00edtico establecido en el Acuerdo de Par\u00eds\u00bb. Seg\u00fan el nuevo informe, si se mantienen los niveles actuales de emisiones, el objetivo clim\u00e1tico de Par\u00eds fracasar\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abTodo va en la direcci\u00f3n equivocada\u00bb<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El profesor Piers Forster, director del Centro Priestley para el Futuro del Clima de la Universidad de Leeds y autor principal del informe, ha se\u00f1alado que los datos registrados en los sistemas clim\u00e1ticos son preocupantes. \u00abEstamos observando algunos cambios sin precedentes. El calentamiento global y el aumento del nivel del mar se han acelerado. Esto est\u00e1 directamente relacionado con las altas emisiones\u00bb, ha afirmado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los cient\u00edficos hab\u00edan fijado el presupuesto de carbono restante en 500 000 millones de toneladas de CO2 para poder mantener el objetivo de 1,5 \u00b0C en 2020. Sin embargo, seg\u00fan el nuevo estudio, esta cifra se ha reducido a 130 000 millones de toneladas a principios de 2025. Con unas emisiones anuales de aproximadamente 40 000 millones de toneladas de CO2, este presupuesto se agotar\u00e1 en solo tres a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2023 fue el primer a\u00f1o en que se super\u00f3 el l\u00edmite de 1,5 \u00b0C<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El a\u00f1o pasado, las temperaturas medias globales superaron por primera vez en 1,5 \u00b0C los niveles preindustriales. Aunque por ahora se trata de una media provisional de 12 meses, los cient\u00edficos han se\u00f1alado que este aumento se debe en gran medida a la actividad humana. Las temperaturas medias globales han aumentado actualmente 1,36 \u00b0C y est\u00e1n subiendo aproximadamente 0,27 \u00b0C cada d\u00e9cada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si se supera el umbral de 1,5 \u00b0C, ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil dar marcha atr\u00e1s<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El profesor Joeri Rogelj, del Imperial College de Londres, afirm\u00f3 que, en teor\u00eda, es posible eliminar el exceso de CO2 de la atm\u00f3sfera, incluso si se supera el l\u00edmite de 1,5 \u00b0C, pero que esta posibilidad disminuye a medida que aumenta el grado de calentamiento. \u00abCada parte del calentamiento es importante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cada aumento de 0,1 \u00b0C supone m\u00e1s da\u00f1os, especialmente para las comunidades pobres y vulnerables\u00bb, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El mundo retiene m\u00e1s energ\u00eda: los oc\u00e9anos se calientan y el nivel del mar sube<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Otro dato destacado del estudio es el r\u00e1pido aumento del desequilibrio energ\u00e9tico mundial. En la \u00faltima d\u00e9cada, la tasa de energ\u00eda acumulada en la atm\u00f3sfera terrestre se ha duplicado en comparaci\u00f3n con los a\u00f1os 70 y 80, y es un 25 % m\u00e1s alta que a finales de la d\u00e9cada de 2000. Esta acumulaci\u00f3n de energ\u00eda es absorbida en gran medida por los oc\u00e9anos, lo que amenaza la vida marina y eleva el nivel del mar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Dr. Matthew Palmer, de la Universidad de Bristol, afirm\u00f3: \u00abUn aumento tan elevado de la energ\u00eda en tan poco tiempo es extremadamente preocupante. No solo afecta a las temperaturas, sino que tambi\u00e9n tiene un impacto directo en el deshielo de los glaciares y el nivel de los oc\u00e9anos\u00bb. El nivel global del mar est\u00e1 aumentando a un ritmo que se ha duplicado desde la d\u00e9cada de 1990.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hay esperanza, pero el tiempo se acaba: \u00abLa transici\u00f3n hacia las tecnolog\u00edas limpias debe acelerarse\u00bb<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Aunque el informe presenta un panorama sombr\u00edo, se se\u00f1ala que el aumento de las emisiones se ha ralentizado ligeramente gracias a la generalizaci\u00f3n de las tecnolog\u00edas de energ\u00eda limpia. Sin embargo, los expertos consideran que esto no es suficiente y piden a los gobiernos y al sector privado que adopten medidas \u00abr\u00e1pidas y dr\u00e1sticas\u00bb para reducir las emisiones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se destaca la importancia del Acuerdo de Par\u00eds<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Los cient\u00edficos recuerdan que el objetivo de 1,5 \u00b0C establecido en el Acuerdo de Par\u00eds de 2015 se basa en datos cient\u00edficos y afirman que \u00abincluso un objetivo de calentamiento de 1,5 \u00b0C en lugar de 2 \u00b0C reducir\u00eda considerablemente los efectos de los fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos extremos, la p\u00e9rdida de hielo y la subida del nivel del mar\u00bb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"(SDGTALKING) \u2013 By Bunyamin Surmeli – Seg\u00fan el \u00faltimo informe elaborado por m\u00e1s de 60 cient\u00edficos clim\u00e1ticos 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