Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) Komisyonu Ortak Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezinin (JRC) haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir rapora g\u00f6re, Avrupa’da 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda s\u0131caklardan kaynakl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze oranla 5 kat artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Lancet Public Health dergisi taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan ve\u00a0iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n 27 AB \u00fclkesi ile \u0130ngiltere, \u0130svi\u00e7re ve Norve\u00e7 \u00f6zelinde Avrupa’daki hava s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131na yapaca\u011f\u0131 etkinin ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 JRC’nin raporu endi\u015fe verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Avrupa’da ilk kez b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re \u00f6l\u00fcm oranlar\u0131n\u0131n analizini sunan bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, k\u0131tasal d\u00fczeyde \u0131s\u0131ya ba\u011fl\u0131 nedenlerden kaynaklanan \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortalama olarak \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, baz\u0131 yerlerde bunun 5 kat olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rapordaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler do\u011frultusunda, Avrupa’da mevcut durumda hava s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan 43 bin 729 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybederken, 2100’de say\u0131n\u0131n ortalama 128 bin 809’a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde hava s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin ba\u015fta Avrupa’n\u0131n g\u00fcney b\u00f6lgelerini etkileyece\u011fi, AB \u00fclkelerinden \u0130spanya, \u0130talya, Yunanistan ve Malta’da bu nedenden can kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n 5 kata kadar artabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yap\u0131lan \u00f6rneklemelerde, \u0130spanya’da mevcut durumda y\u0131lda 4 bin 414 olan s\u0131cak hava kaynakl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 20 bin 194’e \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletlerin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda da\u00a0iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131 herhangi bir \u015fey yap\u0131lmamas\u0131 halinde 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze oranla b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla 3 santigrat artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
JRC, en k\u00f6t\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131kta 2100’de s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n \u015fimdikinden 4 santigrat derece daha artabilece\u011fini ve bu durumda \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki say\u0131lara oranla yakla\u015f\u0131k 9 kat daha fazla olabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Di\u011fer yandan ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 so\u011fuk havan\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131cak havaya oranla \u00e7ok daha fazla \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Raporda uzmanlar\u0131n, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131cak havan\u0131n, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 so\u011fuklar\u0131 ve bundan kaynaklanan \u00f6l\u00fcmleri azaltabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki “iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi inkarc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n” g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kat\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na da vurgu yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kaynak : AA<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n